What a set of games last weekend! We don’t have the headline grabbing line-up of Ireland v New Zealand this weekend but there are still plenty of good clashes. With so many Tier 1 and Tier 2 sides in action so let’s get into the predictions.
Here is my video with my November Internationals Round 4 Predictions:
Main International Games included in SuperBru:
Romania v Uruguay – Romania by 3
This is a really hard one to call as they have both faced such different opposition. We have only seen Uruguay against Fiji where they were comfortably beaten but then Romania aren’t having a good November either. I’m backing home advantage to sneak it.
Portugal v Namibia – Namibia by 3
Namibia have had a torrid November but this is a game they should be winning comfortably considering they are at the Rugby World Cup. Portugal lost to Germany to get into a playoff agains Samoa and are in the 3rd tier European International competition. I’m not confident about backing Namibia though as they have had such a hard time over the last couple of weeks.
Italy v New Zealand – New Zealand by 20
Italy won their important game at the beginning of the window when the beat Georgia. It was always going to be 2 losses after that if we are going to be honest. They did better than expected last weekend but will be on a hiding this weekend. New Zealand will rest their top players and this is another opportunity for the fringe to make their mark and expect them to do so in some style.
Georgia v Tonga – Georgia by 3
This one is one of the more intriguing games of the weekend. We have Georgia who are looking to make a case for being the top tier 2 nation. Visiting them is a team that’s been on the up over the last couple of year and also this is a grudge match. Georgia beat Tonga in the 2015 Rugby World Cup which was effectively a qualification match too the 2019 Rugby World Cup. I’m going for the home side but I think it could be really close.
Scotland v Argentina – Scotland by 5
Scotland will be really hurting after losing to South Africa last weekend. There’s no point scoring some the best tries if you go onto lose the game. Argentina have had a tough series of games losing to both Ireland and France. I think Scotland will win on the rebound, they don’t lose many at home.
Spain v Samoa – Samoa by 5
Samoa have been getting some stick back home for their performances even though they have qualified for the Rugby World Cup. This should be an opportunity for them to finally get a result after losing to the USA and Georgia. Spain will be rebuilding after their disqualification from the Rugby World Cup qualification and have their sights on 2023 rather than this weekend.
England v Australia – England by 7
This is one of the 2 big clashes this weekend. Both these coaches came into this window of games with their jobs on the line. Jones has secured his with a win over South Africa and a 1 point loss to New Zealand. However there are still questions after a less than impressive performance against Japan. Cheika on the other hand only has a poor win over Italy and another loss here would put him under real pressure.
Russia v Japan – Japan by 10
Russia beat Namibia but lost to the Dragons and are a team that’s up and down at the moment. Qualifying for the Rugby World Cup because of other teams getting disqualified means you do wonder if they are ready. Japan should show that they are one of the top Tier 2 sides and that there’s a bit of a gulf here.
Wales v South Africa – Wales by 3
The second big clash of the weekend. Wales are quietly going about their business and have climbed up to 3rd in the world rankings. They overcame a psychological hurdle by beating Australia in a low scoring game. South Africa have been in 3 very close clashes coming out on top in 2. I think this will be another close one and I’m backing the home side to continue their quite growth.
Ireland v USA – Ireland by 20
The USA are going to bookend their November series of games with 2 heavy losses. That’s nothing to be ashamed about having faced the Maori All Blacks and Ireland in those games. They’ll be happy with the wins they got in between. Ireland will look to complete a clean sweep of wins with their fringe players and look to build further depth for the Rugby World Cup.
France v Fiji – France by 10
Fiji have had a good set of games in this window getting 2 tier 1 clashes, the first they lost to Scotland and I can’t see them troubling France too much but it’s good to see them getting the games. France need to back up their win against Argentina with another good performance for this to be a successful set of games.
Kenya v Germany – Neither of these sides can qualify and so this is a dead rubber. You’d expect Germany to win this on form but as there is a good chance that this is the end of the road for German rugby, who knows what state of mind everyone will be in? The it’s likely that the rich financial backer for German rugby will be pulling out after this so all the support staff will be looking for new jobs for example. Kenya isn’t much better with an industrial dispute between the players and the union so who knows what state of mind all the people are in.
Hong Kong v Canada – This is the deciding game. Hong Kong need to win the game by more than 7 points and score 4 tries to at least get on 10 points which Canada already have. So it’s a tall ask and they will be rueing not taking Germany seriously enough in their opening game. Canada can’t be complacent but have put themselves in the driving seat and should see it home to get the final Rugby World Cup place.
England v Ireland – With Ireland losing to the USA last weekend you’d have to say the home side has the better form going into this game. England have beaten the USA and Canada over the last 2 weekends.
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